Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.420484 4.955413 5.537939 6.220765 7.000938 7.866504 8.902250
2025-01-26 3.645243 4.358430 5.194013 6.250582 7.558396 9.133641 11.189033
2025-02-02 3.235112 4.060900 5.083781 6.455291 8.263267 10.588961 13.845604
2025-02-09 2.911829 3.800386 4.951534 6.570780 8.819549 11.876437 16.422786
2025-02-16 2.652838 3.578224 4.823645 6.649048 9.301450 13.086152 19.025239
2025-02-23 2.442290 3.390522 4.710176 6.716317 9.752019 14.278197 21.739298
2025-03-02 2.194810 3.121629 4.448477 6.529209 9.789320 14.838639 23.528963
2025-03-09 2.015176 2.931214 4.277597 6.451376 9.971151 15.623943 25.765339
2025-03-16 1.857683 2.757951 4.113370 6.361195 10.113524 16.347444 27.978171
2025-03-23 1.799258 2.729215 4.165289 6.615602 10.841412 18.122919 32.299647
2025-03-30 1.689956 2.610659 4.063523 6.603767 11.109786 19.124899 35.325858
2025-04-06 1.583858 2.488218 3.944062 6.547870 11.289716 19.980256 38.182259
2025-04-13 1.425204 2.270838 3.655247 6.179318 10.880117 19.719126 38.809845
2025-04-20 1.353370 2.192798 3.594801 6.210269 11.214146 20.919094 42.679852
2025-04-27 1.316759 2.171186 3.628500 6.413774 11.896997 22.889924 48.555477
2025-05-04 1.268749 2.125810 3.616021 6.528483 12.416190 24.591382 54.122418
2025-05-11 1.219061 2.073515 3.586354 6.606192 12.867041 26.203966 59.768277
2025-05-18 1.171736 2.021831 3.553266 6.672971 13.300673 27.832902 65.753877
2025-05-25 1.094755 1.910722 3.401161 6.487233 13.173729 28.182313 68.522283
2025-06-01 1.037889 1.833077 3.306602 6.409968 13.273999 29.066061 72.865836
2025-06-08 0.983887 1.757346 3.210322 6.320445 13.336666 29.867292 77.134214
2025-06-15 0.973141 1.763117 3.273131 6.572995 14.208454 32.759063 87.949276
2025-06-22 0.933591 1.710574 3.216279 6.561247 14.459184 34.126188 94.547469